Spatial analysis of armed conflicts in Ethiopia in the period 1997-2022 AD: a study in political geography using geographic information systems

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Faculty of Arts - Beni Suef University - Department of Geography and Geographical Information Systems

2 أستاذ الجغرافيا البشرية المساعد . كلية الآداب . جامعة بني سويف

Abstract

Armed conflicts have flared up inside the Ethiopian state since its inception until now, and the causes of these conflicts are multiple. The current study seeks to identify the reality of the spatial analysis of armed conflicts in the Ethiopian state in the period 1997-2022 AD and their geographical distribution patterns using geographic information systems technology, dealing with the statistical analysis of those conflicts and their concentration locational, as well as measuring their geographical distributions represented in the analyzes of each of Mean Center, Central Feature , standard distance, directional distribution analysis, and then the analyzes of the geographical patterns of those armed conflicts such as Average Nearest Neighbor, Kernel density, Spatial Autocorrelation (Moran’s I), High/low Clustering (Getis-Ord General G), hot spots Analysis, as well as an attempt to identify the geographical causes of the armed conflict from the point of view of Political Geography, the actors in that conflict and its repercussions on the Ethiopian state and its geographical neighbors, which lead the state to its collapse and restrict it from performing its assigned functions.
The study methodology is based mainly on the analytical descriptive approach. Depending on the available data and information, in addition to following the quantitative and cartographic method based on geographic information systems technology using spatial analysis methods, which produced a variety of maps and graphic shapes that help display and display the research results.
The study concluded that the armed conflicts in the Ethiopian state have become a legacy, and the transfer of power takes place only in conjunction with those armed conflicts, and that the pattern of spatial distribution of armed conflicts according to the results of spatial analyzes is the clustered pattern, which made the state suffer from political instability, and led to its inability On the performance of its functions and vulnerability to collapse and division, and this is confirmed by the state hierarchy on the Global Terrorism Index (GTI), the Minority Rights Groups (MRG), Conflict Severity Index (CSI), Global Peace Index (GPI) and others.
 

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